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Dan · Joined: Dec 31, 1969 Posts: 282 Location: USA

12-26-10 confirmation: The Gulf Of Mexico Is Dying The only difference from my prediction of how the GOM dies and us with it, is that I completely understated out problem. That means we have a problem. Mother Earth wants over half us to die in less than one year.
Dam I was beginning to believe BP had plugged Macando. Our 3MS leaders will lie us all to death.

Here for more evidence: phoenixrisingfromthegulf

11-2-10 BP well is still blowing out from bottom. Only way to prevent blowout from reaching surface is to nuke well quickly.
There is a simple way to confirm or disprove leak. Look on the Gulf seafloor starting about one mile North of the Macondo well and go around it in circles out to two miles.

9-3-10 Changed title from, "Can BP 1st Relief Well Measure Magnetic Signal From Macando?" to "Why BP well still has a growing leak.".

They are using the electro-magnetic(EM) signal from the casing of Macando to guide relief wells into contact with casing.

No casing = no EM signal = we have a big problem and little time to do what needs to be done.

Why there would be no casing is explained below.

Related links at bottom of article.

10-27-10 Not good, latest news probably confirms leak: Reappearance of Huge Plumes of Oil is Making It Hard to Pretend that the Problem Has Disappeared.

8-18-10 New problem with the BP well. They almost certainly only sealed the leak temporarily.

There is something causing a plug. They are worried about over pressure???? On Drudge. 17-Aug-2010

"Final Gulf oil well 'kill' plan on hold amid pressure fears"

"WASHINGTON (AFP) – A long-standing deadline for sealing the ruptured Gulf of Mexico well deep below the seabed will be missed as US officials and BP tackle concerns about debris lodged in the well. BP and US government representatives had hoped to complete a "bottom kill" procedure and officially pronounce the well dead by mid-August, but the US point-man on the oil spill response said Monday the bid was on hold. Admiral Thad Allen said that an earlier successful process sealing the well from above may have wedged cement between two layers of casing, trapping leaked crude inside the void.".

BP and Admiral Thad Allen rushed the plugging effort because;

1. They knew they had a leak when the expected 9000 psi, but pressure was only 6450 psi when well was capped. BP was and is measuring pressures directly with both the past and present cap. Once they capped this well, the leak rate increased several times, exposing the leaks existence by the drop in expected pressure.

2. The steady rise in pressure to 7000 psi implied two possibilities: a) the well casing was being ground up from intake end as the oil/gas from the field explosively decompressed entering intake end, thus reducing the weight of oil/gas in well bore above intake, and/or;

b) the field pressure was increasing. We can throw out the the possibility that the rock formation around leak was filling up an impermeable walled void; then the pressure would increase exponentially as the void filled. Instead it gradually decreased to 1 psi per hour from 2 psi a hour over days.

How to objectively decide between the two possibilities?

1. BP can confirm whether field pressure was decreasing or increasing materially prior to capping well since they were measuring these pressures directly.

2. A direct measurement = TEST to confirm a grind-up: after intake end is ground up past first relief well's lower end, then you can not measure the magnetic signature from the well casing. BP uses these EM signals to guide the relief well precisely onto the Macondo well casing. Perhaps this is why they have not completed the relief wells; no see Macondo, no drill into it.

Fearing the leak, they rushed its plugging operation. Given what they knew, it is hard to imagine anyone else not doing the same. But not waiting long enough to see if the leak was really plugged indicated by the Mud holding its position = constant pressure for at least a few days was a mistake. Instead, they waited less than 24 hours after Mud was put down well before putting down cement which flowed up the annulus at the leak; thereby ensuring they no longer can see or plug the well from the top with both annulus and well bore cemented.

Why would it re-leak?

1.Mud is basically Bentonite, a heavy clay = temporary stop leak when it goes into a porous rock formation that the leak was traveling through to ocean floor. The Mud stopped the leak in the short term.

2. Put cement down well and cement did not go into porous rock because the Bentonite had temporarily sealed the leak. Ironically, the cement, if it had been put down first, almost certainly would have sealed leak permanently.

3. Instead, cement was pushed up annulus, thereby not only sealing well bore, but also the annulus completely above the leak point.

Conclusions

1. Bentonite is not going to hold 100,000 psi field pressure.

2. Once well starts to re-leak it will very quickly reach a much higher leak rate, pushed by the additional force from the now blocked 2/3rds of the well flow that was going out the top of the well before.

3. Grind-up is past bottom end of first relief well, as noted above an easy measurement will confirm of disprove.

4. There is no way to plug well by conventional means now.

Solution: Use both relief well to set off two small nukes simultaneously to try and seal well. Using only one will probably damage other relief well bore.

Consequences of not actually plugging well leak.

The leak will slowly get bigger and bigger as intake end rises towards leak. Once the grind-up hits the leak it will quickly enlarge the leak, then the leak rate will increase explosively. A grind-up in rock will go a lot faster.

Initially, the oil and gas will mostly stay on the bottom of Gulf, as they are cooled to sea water temperature by passing through rock up to the seafloor. Soon an ever growing amount will reach surface, mostly gas initially. (Sept. 10, 2010 NPR "Scientists Find Thick Layer Of Oil On Seafloor" by Richard Harris).

Once the water column gets saturated with natural gas we will get a firestorm on the Gulf surface. As the leak enlarges the firestorm will cause a 'volcanic/nuclear dust' winter event. We will lose all of next years crops. Almost all of us will die within 18 months then.

In short, you, BP, and our government need to think through very carefully about what could be going on.

To Dos:

1. BP and our government must PUBLICLY confirm the grind-up by verifying they can not see an EM signal from Macondo with relief well #1.

2, They must determine where the leak is coming through on the sea floor by testing the oil from the "seeps" they know of and matching it to the BP well.
a) Is Macondo oil biotic or abiotic oil? BP and US govt know. Abiotic is strong evidence we have tapped into the deep world oil field. That means the pressure will not let up.

Time left: Once confirmed we will not have much time left before the well gets to big to blow. My guess is about 30 days until there are too many flow paths to surface both below and above the initial leak.

This would be a nice prediction for me to be wrong about, but the people of Earth can not afford to be wrong about this danger. "Can BP 1st Relief Well Measure Magnetic Signal From Macondo, or not?"; that is the question.

Why pressure in BP well is growing at 2 psi per hour.

Implications of BP well field pressure being over 85k psi.

Dan · Joined: Dec 31, 1969 Posts: 282 Location: USA

I will try to find exact concentrations and area
tomorrow.

"Scientists Find Thick Layer Of Oil On Seafloor" by Richard Harris

At a 10% concentration, we have big problems. 159 liters per barrel of oil = 6.289 per cubic meter;

39" per meter = 6.2" a barrel per meter^2 = 6.2 meter^2 per barrel inch.

50 miles by 50 miles = 80 km x 80 kms = 6400 km^2 or 6 billion 400 thousand square meters. That is about 10 million barrels at only average thickness of one inch.

If true then we have a leak. Lets hopes it is a 1 per cent concentration.

Dan · Joined: Dec 31, 1969 Posts: 282 Location: USA

Sent email to Stephanie Joye, Univ of Georgia requesting info on new oil sediment layer on Gulf floor.

Dan · Joined: Dec 31, 1969 Posts: 282 Location: USA

Thu, 16 Sep 2010 13:15:53 -0500
From: Horizon Support <Horizonsupport@oegllc.com>
To: <dalter@zipcon.net>
Subject: Horizon Call Center - your recent submission
Show Headers

Dear Dan Alter,
Thank you so much for taking the time to think about and submit your proposed solution regarding the Horizon incident. Your submission has been reviewed for its technical merits. Unfortunately, the team has determined that your idea cannot be applied under the very challenging and specific operating conditions we face. All of us on the Horizon Support Team appreciate your thoughts and efforts.

Sincerely yours,
Horizon Support Team