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Can This Conjunction Occur By Chance?
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Dan
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Joined: Jan 01, 1970
Posts: 379
Location: USA
PostPost subject: Can This Conjunction Occur By Chance?
Posted: Mon Sep 21, 2009 12:02 am

Not a chance. Both pairs of asteroids I picked are close, but no cigar. Asteroids or any other body moving through space will not change speed or orbit without an outside cause.

The chance that any two asteroids from a group of 65 will be in conjunction on a given date/time to the second anywhere on their 2.4 billion mile orbital circumference is literally millions to one.

For a conjunction to occur at an exact location on this orbital circumference is over 125 million to one. For a second one to occur at the exact same time, three years later, on an exact location, is 1529 million million million to one. And that is assuming a 100% probability that a conjunction will occur somewhere on the orbital circumference from among the 65 asteroids.

In short, not a chance.

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